Marc Neumann Ikerbasque Research Professor - Ramon y Cajal Fellow

Main Research Field:
Environmental modelling, mitigation, adaptation, complexity, uncertainty, water engineering

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Orcid 0000-0002-4801-3279
Wok B-5553-2008
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Anthropogenic climate change impacts all human societies and natural systems. However, due to the inertia of the climate system the negative consequences of current emissions will be experienced in the future. A first intention should therefore be to significantly reduce the risk of potentially dangerous future climate change. A second objective is to identify ways to adapt to non-reducible impacts. Mathematical models can test mitigation and adaptation strategies in a virtual environment. They need to address the complexity arising due to the multiple scales in time and space and due to the interconnectedness of systems. The Basque Centre for Climate Change offers a truly interdisciplinary working environment, where, together with inspiring colleagues these challenges can be tackled in an unrestricted way.

March 27, 2017

BC3 Journal Article “The climatic dependencies of urban ecosystem services from green roofs: Threshold effects and non-linearity”

This paper proposes a methodology for quantifying benefits and costs of extensive green roofs as an urban strategy for adaptation to climate change. It seeks to highlight the consequences of threshold effects in the delivery of the benefits and non-linearity with respect to green roof coverage.
January 19, 2017

Press Release (2017-01-19)

"Ice-free summers in Arctic Ocean could thwart Paris Agreement objectives". A new study shows the current trend of melting sea ice in the Arctic Ocean could put at risk the objectives of the Paris Agreement to address climate change. The study’s authors conclude that, due to the future increase in the sea ice-albedo feedback, global carbon dioxide emission levels would need to reach zero 5 to 15 years earlier than expected to meet targets set by the agreement, substantially increasing mitigation costs. They also show the target of limiting the increase in global temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius set by the Paris Agreement would be unachievable without negative carbon emissions.
January 18, 2017

BC3 Journal Article “Mitigation implications of an ice-free summer in the Arctic Ocean”

The rapid loss of sea ice in the Arctic is one of the most striking manifestations of climate change. As sea ice melts, more open water is exposed to solar radiation, absorbing heat and generating a sea-ice–albedo feedback that reinforces Arctic warming. Recent studies stress the significance of this feedback mechanism and suggest that ice-free summer conditions in the Arctic Ocean may occur faster than previously expected, even under low-emissions pathways.
November 16, 2016

TRANSrisk Project: First Year Progress

BC3 is one of the partners of this Research Projects that seeks to create a novel assessment framework for analysing costs and benefits of transition pathways, where uncertainty is at the heart of policy design rather than accounted for through sensitivity analysis at the end of the analysis.

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